December 8, 2025

December 8, 2025

Salient Predictions 2025-26 Ski-Cast: Snow, Canada!

Karl Critz

·
·

5

min read

Lake Louise in the Canadian Rockies. Image credit: Shutterstock.com

We've heard the appeals and we know our crowd. Using the new Salient GemAI v2 model to forecast worldwide snow quantity, we compared this year's forecast to historical averages at 90 ski mountains. Here's how you can plan your Winter:

  • The interior Canadian West mountains should be snowier than average due to elevated precipitation. They'll also be warmer than normal, but still below freezing - your fingers and toes will just be more comfortable. If you're looking for a destination vacation this season, motivate your crew to the Columbia Mountains.
  • The Northeast had a great start to the year. With a Winter season that expects above-average precip and around-average temps, the trend should continue.  If you live in or near New England, get out there and Ski the East.
  • The US West, Japan, and Europe struggled with a slow start. Activity is picking up now, but higher temps will make it hard to overcome early snow deficits. Still, a "B" day in Colorado or Hokkaido is better than an "A" day elsewhere, so don't let this keep you off the slopes.

Snow, precipitation, and temperature anomalies at the top 50% of resorts analyzed. Image credit: Salient Predictions, Inc.

Looking deeper at how select hills will develop over time, we see that:

  • Lake Louise (Canada) should continue to develop its base over the season with higher-than-average precip and temps consistently below freezing. Anytime should be a good visit, especially the late season.
  • Killington (Vermont) will be exceptionally shreddable for most of Winter, but starting in March elevated temperatures will turn fresh to rain and base to slush. Enjoy your early laps while you can.
  • Over time, Steamboat (Colorado) and Niseko (Japan) should expect total precipitation that is just a bit below historical average. After a slow start with limited terrain and delayed openings, they'll recover but snow totals likely won't exceed a typical year.
  • Chamonix (France) will likely be below typical snowfall for most of the season. By the time extra precip arrives in Spring, it may be too warm to matter. There could be a good window in February after the base has developed and before Spring rains wash it away.
Snow accumulation (and drivers) over time at 5 regionally-representative locations. Image credit: Salient Predictions, Inc.

Under the hood, the Salient GemAI v2 model features industry-leading accuracy, a 126-day lead time, a daily time step, and spatial debiasing for precise point location forecasts. This powerful toolkit isn't just fun and games: get in touch to learn how you can trade energy, transform agriculture, and optimize operations well in advance.

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December 8, 2025

December 8, 2025

Salient Predictions 2025-26 Ski-Cast: Snow, Canada!

Karl Critz

·
Lake Louise in the Canadian Rockies. Image credit: Shutterstock.com

We've heard the appeals and we know our crowd. Using the new Salient GemAI v2 model to forecast worldwide snow quantity, we compared this year's forecast to historical averages at 90 ski mountains. Here's how you can plan your Winter:

  • The interior Canadian West mountains should be snowier than average due to elevated precipitation. They'll also be warmer than normal, but still below freezing - your fingers and toes will just be more comfortable. If you're looking for a destination vacation this season, motivate your crew to the Columbia Mountains.
  • The Northeast had a great start to the year. With a Winter season that expects above-average precip and around-average temps, the trend should continue.  If you live in or near New England, get out there and Ski the East.
  • The US West, Japan, and Europe struggled with a slow start. Activity is picking up now, but higher temps will make it hard to overcome early snow deficits. Still, a "B" day in Colorado or Hokkaido is better than an "A" day elsewhere, so don't let this keep you off the slopes.

Snow, precipitation, and temperature anomalies at the top 50% of resorts analyzed. Image credit: Salient Predictions, Inc.

Looking deeper at how select hills will develop over time, we see that:

  • Lake Louise (Canada) should continue to develop its base over the season with higher-than-average precip and temps consistently below freezing. Anytime should be a good visit, especially the late season.
  • Killington (Vermont) will be exceptionally shreddable for most of Winter, but starting in March elevated temperatures will turn fresh to rain and base to slush. Enjoy your early laps while you can.
  • Over time, Steamboat (Colorado) and Niseko (Japan) should expect total precipitation that is just a bit below historical average. After a slow start with limited terrain and delayed openings, they'll recover but snow totals likely won't exceed a typical year.
  • Chamonix (France) will likely be below typical snowfall for most of the season. By the time extra precip arrives in Spring, it may be too warm to matter. There could be a good window in February after the base has developed and before Spring rains wash it away.
Snow accumulation (and drivers) over time at 5 regionally-representative locations. Image credit: Salient Predictions, Inc.

Under the hood, the Salient GemAI v2 model features industry-leading accuracy, a 126-day lead time, a daily time step, and spatial debiasing for precise point location forecasts. This powerful toolkit isn't just fun and games: get in touch to learn how you can trade energy, transform agriculture, and optimize operations well in advance.

About Salient

Salient combines ocean and land-surface data with machine learning and climate expertise to deliver accurate and reliable subseasonal-to-seasonal weather forecasts and industry insights—two to 52 weeks in advance. Bringing together leading experts in physical oceanography, climatology and the global water cycle, machine learning, and AI, Salient helps enterprise clients improve resiliency, increase preparedness, and make better decisions in the face of a rapidly changing climate. Learn more at www.salientpredictions.com and follow on LinkedIn and X.

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